Welcome to our fourth quarter 2021 Macro Quarterly Insights. We will be taking a look at what has happened in the world of global economics and finance over the past quarter and what events and actions may impact markets in the next few months.

Welcome to Macro Insights #11. This week was Central bank week: the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England (BoE), the European Central Bank (ECB) along with about a dozen others, all met this week.

Welcome to Macro Insights #10. The uncertainty around the Omicron variant and the hope that it may, even if more transmissible, not be as deadly as other Covid variants, helped push US markets this past week.

Welcome to our Monthly Macro Insights. November was a challenging month for markets due to concerns over rising inflation and the resurgence of Covid infections.

Welcome to Macro Insights #9. Over the past week, US markets reacted to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell re-appoint for a second term with the S&P 500 dropping before rising slightly towards the end of the week, the dollar rose as expectations of rate hike taking place by June 2022 became more entrenched based on initial jobless claims falling to a 52 year low.

Welcome to Macro Insights #8. Over the past week we’ve seen US stock market indices fall as the reality that inflation may hit the economic recovery harder than expected and that the Fed may need to take more action sooner than expected is sinking in. 

Welcome to Macro Insights #7. Over the past week we’ve seen US treasuries fall then rally as the higher than expected US CPI at 6.2%, above the expected 5.8% and the highest since 1990, led to US stock markets closing lower after 19 weeks of highs.

Over the past week markets continued to confound. In the curious case of why markets aren’t having a textbook reaction to slowing growth and higher inflation, the S&P and Nasdaq reached new highs on Wednesday. The only explanation can be a series of above expected corporate earnings and that supply-chain disruptions and labour and raw material shortages will be resolved by early 2022 as (or rather, if) Covid and its variants recede with increased vaccinations and no new variants emerging.

Welcome to the 5th in our Macro Insights series. Over the last week we’ve seen flatter treasury yields emerging as concerns over the speed of growth due to labour and supply constraints continue.

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